What if Vettel had signed for Mercedes in 2015 instead of Ferrari?
In 2015 the W06 was the most dominant car of the hybrid era. Would Vettel have won a fifth title?
The simulation's verdict
Lewis Hamilton would have won the 2015 title in 94% of the 200 simulations.
Sebastian Vettel
Lewis Hamilton
Who finished ahead
Based on 200 simulations of the 2015 season. Numbers can vary each time you play.
Historical context
After four titles with Red Bull, Vettel chose Ferrari for his next chapter. Mercedes would have given him the dominant car he needed. The 2015 W06 won 16 races. Would the German have matched Hamilton's records with that car under his hands?
The real 2015 season
In 2015 Mercedes cemented its supremacy with the W06, an even more complete car than its predecessor, and the title fight was again reserved for its two drivers. This time, however, Lewis Hamilton took charge from the outset. More settled and consistent than in 2014, Hamilton dominated Nico Rosberg for most of the season and was crowned triple world champion in the United States, matching the title tally of his idol Ayrton Senna, a deeply symbolic milestone for him. The only discordant note in the silver superiority came from Sebastian Vettel, who in his first year with Ferrari took three wins and restored some hope to the tifosi, though without any real chance of fighting for the championship.
Real champion: Lewis Hamilton in the Mercedes W06. Hamilton wins in the USA and is crowned triple world champion. See the full 2015 season →
The driver
Sebastian Vettel was the child prodigy who became a four-time champion before turning twenty-seven. He debuted with BMW Sauber in 2007, scoring on his first race, and in 2008 gave Toro Rosso a historic win in the Monza rain, becoming the youngest winner in history at the time. At Red Bull, alongside designer Adrian Newey, he forged a dynasty: four consecutive championships between 2010 and 2013. Full profile →
How it's simulated
The engine recreates qualifying (Q1, Q2, Q3) and every Grand Prix with the ~20 real drivers of 2015, weighing each car's performance, driver skill, weather, safety cars and tyre wear. Learn how the simulator works →
Season
2015
Mode
One driver, different car
Car
Mercedes
Tags
Choose driver, car and season. The engine simulates the full championship with real drivers.